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Here is a good example of how the market behaves when price reached a trading limit. Here we are looking at Corn after a USDA report. Old crop July went limit down right after the data and pretty much stayed there. New crop December also sold off, but stayed above limit. Now, the exchange spread [...]
One thing you need to consider when trading spreads is what we call the hedge ratio. This article and video looks at how to calculate the ratio using DV01s for fixed interest traders.
This is an interesting doco on the concept of luck. It seems odd to suggest luck has anything to do with trading, but the two best traders I know have both independently said luck plays a big role. That said, it depends how we look at luck and consider how it can be created. At [...]
You’ve heard of Shark Week. Well this is Rolls Week. For the SFE bonds, this is when all the activity moves from the near expiry to the next. In this case, it is moving from Dec into March. On CQG, you should be able to find the calendar spread for the Dec-Mar 3yrs and the [...]
When new to futures or new to specific futures markets, it can be tricky finding the right codes. This guide explains a few things.
Here is an email from and response to one of our trainee traders: Hi Mr Bower, I am trying to experiment with how to better tackle trending & choppy markets, and some fading strategies. I’m also trying to trade the more volatile ES. Trying to step out of my comfort zone. Apparently, the usual scalping [...]
In a recent update we looked at a spread trade in Corn, citing the upside move was overdone and the spread had the potential to narrow dramatically. See here. Over the last few weeks, the spread has done exactly that. This illustrates a very interesting point – unexplainable or extreme moves are often followed by [...]
I can’t help it. I keep seeing similarities between riding a motor bike and trading. They are everywhere.
An interesting move in Soybeans last night. The market finished limit down with heavy offers. It looked nothing but bearish. The reopen saw the market trade down 15pts pretty quickly. Then a retrace to cover the gap, resistance at spot on 1669 held and the market fell always again. Classic textbook technicals. Sometimes trading is that simple.
This website is for educational purposes only. Futures, options, and spot currency trading have large potential risk and traders should be well-educated before putting real money at risk. You must be aware of the risks and willing to accept them in order to invest in all markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy/sell a futures contract or currency.